What is incrementality?

It's a top-level modeling to understand what drives sales including media and all possible external factors

It's a way to test variations of ad creative against each other

It's a way to measure if the change in user behavior was directly caused by exposure to an ad campaign

It's near real-time attribution to fuel short-term business and bidding decisions

Explanation

Analysis of Correct Answer(s)

The correct answer accurately defines incrementality. In advertising, incrementality measurement is designed to isolate the true causal effect of an ad campaign on a key business outcome, such as an offline sale. It answers the critical question: "Did this ad cause the user to take action, or would they have done so anyway?"

  • It is often measured through controlled experiments like lift studies.
  • These studies compare a test group (users exposed to the ad) with a control group (users not exposed to the ad).
  • The difference in conversion rates between these two groups is the incremental lift—the value directly and causally attributable to the advertising effort. This helps prove the real ROI of a campaign.

Analysis of Incorrect Options

  • Near real-time attribution: This describes attribution models that assign credit to marketing touchpoints for a conversion. While useful, they focus on correlation, not the causality that incrementality measures.
  • Top-level modeling: This is a description of Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM), a statistical analysis used to understand how various marketing inputs and external factors contribute to sales over a longer term.
  • Testing variations of ad creative: This describes A/B testing or creative testing. While a form of experimentation, its primary goal is to optimize campaign elements (like ad copy or images), not to measure the overall causal impact of the entire campaign against doing nothing.